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. This brings soaring wages in recent years, weakening the industry (especially export manufacturing) This traditional growth engine. Considerable significance in the structural dilemma of China's economy emerged today, with the reversal of population structure has a direct relationship. China's population structure, with three relatively distinct characteristics. The first is policy-driven. Demographic changes appear larger in human history, and is often associated with famine, disease or war. Changes and the popularity of modern contraceptive social life patterns also affected the birth rate, but like China through policy interventions affect fertility curve, changes in social relations, it is unprecedented. Decided to have a second child in China is not from the family, not even from God, but on the government. Followed by a cliff-type population structure changes. Because of the one-child policy is a man-made decision by the government to implement the will and the means to make China's population growth rate appears rip, labor supply is more cliff-like figure fell, we are about to enter a period of ferocious artificial shortage of labor. The third characteristic is old before getting rich. China's economy has made remarkable achievements in the past 30 years, people income also increased significantly. However, due to structural defects in the population, unless another leap in productivity per capita, we are not waiting for the national well-off, had already entered the aging society. And because the inverted demographic pyramid, the whole society will face ultra high dependency ratio, the family, society and the state are extremely heavy burden. The first argument against changing the demographic policy is, in the past 30 young students of the 400 million population, creating a "demographic dividend for a longer time window." This is a historical fact,UGG ブーツ 人気, but it is precisely the reason for population policies must be changed as soon as possible. Population 50-70 years of last century energy building up, is the next 30 years of reform and opening up policy released,UGG ブーツ 正規品, China's export wave, the wave of consumption, China's real estate wave refraction baby boomers life cycle,UGG ブーツ アウトレット, providing for the economic take-off power. However, baby boomers nearing retirement age, this article originally appeared in his new wealth for personal point of view, is not investment advice or solicitation. Source: (http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_467a66b00102e8dk.html) - change of population policies to stimulate consumption _ Dong Tao _ Sina blog Share: Share to Sina Qing prefer to read comments ┊ ┊ ┊ reprint collections like ┊ ▼ ┊ ┊ Report has Contributions to print: Ranking circle Loading,アグ モカシン,アグ モカシン, please wait ...... wrote before: the U.S. jobs out an assault ECB to explore a new path (May 5) after: Arbor Shop retreat yen scraped off (May 12) Comments Important: false alert winning information | [Send comments] Comments loading, please wait
。这带来了近年工资的暴涨,弱化了制造业(尤其是出口制造业)这个传统增长引擎。在相当意义上,中国经济今天所出现的结构性困境,与人口结构上的逆转有着直接的关系。中国的人口结构,有着三个比较明显的特征。首先是政策主导,UGG ブーツ 店舗。人类历史上人口结构出现较大变化,往往和饥荒、疾病或战争关联。现代社会生活模式的改变及避孕手段的普及,也影响了出生率,但是像中国这样通过政策干预影响生育曲线、改变社会关系,则是史无前例的,UGG ブーツ アウトレット。在中国生育第二个孩子的决定不是来自家庭,UGG ブーツ 正規品,甚至不是来自上帝,而是取决于政府。其次是断崖式人口构造变化。由于独生子女政策是一项人为的决定,通过政府意志和手段推行,使得中国的人口增长率出现裂口,劳动力供应图更有断崖式的下跌,我们即将进入一段人造的来势凶猛的劳动力短缺期。第三个特征是未富先老。中国经济在过去30年取得了骄人的成就,国人收入亦有大幅上升。然而,由于人口结构上的缺陷,除非人均生产率又一次飞跃,我们未等全民小康,便已进入老龄社会。而且由于倒金字塔的人口结构,整个社会将面临超高的供养比率,UGG ブーツ 店舗,对家庭、社会和国家都是极其沉重的负担。反对改变人口政策的第一个理由是,过去30年少生了4亿人口,创造了“一段较长时间的人口红利窗口”。这个是历史事实,但也恰恰是人口政策必须尽快改变的理由。上世纪50-70年代积聚起来的人口能量,被接下来的30年改革开放政策所释放,中国的出口浪潮、消费浪潮、房地产浪潮折射着中国婴儿潮人群的生命周期,为经济的起飞提供了动力。然而,婴儿潮人群已经接近退休年龄,他本文原载于新财富,为个人观点,并非投资建议或劝诱。来源:(http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_467a66b00102e8dk,UGG ブーツ 人気.html) - 改变人口政策 刺激消费_陶冬_新浪博客 分享: 分享到新浪Qing 喜欢 阅读┊ 评论 ┊收藏┊转载┊喜欢▼┊打印┊举报已投稿到: 排行榜 圈子加载中,请稍候......前一篇:美就业出强击 欧央行探新路(5月5日)后一篇:阿伯铺退路日元涉险关(5月12日) 评论 重要提示:警惕虚假中奖信息| [发评论]评论加载中,请稍候
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